Respiratory failure & ventilation

Serially measured diaphragmatic thickening fraction, but not diaphragmatic excursion, was associated with subsequent intubation during high-flow nasal cannula therapy: a prospective repeated-measures cohort study

J Crit CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · IntubationResult — go to the resultOdds ratio 1.50 95% CI 1.29–1.74

Authors' conclusion

Serially measured DTF, but not DE, was associated with subsequent intubation risk.

Study context

Population
Consecutive adults with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure receiving high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC), ICU1,221 person-period records
Participants
270 adults
Exposure
Serial diaphragmatic excursion (DE) and diaphragmatic thickening fraction (DTF) vs subsequent intubation during HFNC
Outcome
Intubation
Follow-up
Within 48 h of HFNC initiation
Methodological detailssingle-center, repeated-measures, Right-sided diaphragm ultrasound at HFNC initiation and 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 h; 1491 assessments
  • Single-center
  • Repeated-measures
  • Right-sided diaphragm ultrasound at HFNC initiation and 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 h; 1491 assessments

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

within 48 h

Odds ratio

1.50

95% CI 1.29–1.74

P < 0.001

DTF, per 1-SD increase (35.7 percentage points)
OR 1.50 (95% CI 1.29–1.74); P < 0.001

Per 1-SD increase, as printed

Intubated
64 (23.7%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeDelta AUC (95% CI)
Discrimination: adding DTF to ROXROX + DTF vs ROX · cluster-bootstrap CI; apparent AUC 0.707 to 0.7360.029 (0.009–0.055)

Discrimination: adding DTF to ROX

ROX remained the stronger bedside marker
Adding DE provided little improvement

Next-window prediction (sensitivity analysis)

Directionally consistent

Original publication

Serially measured diaphragmatic thickening fraction, but not diaphragmatic excursion, was associated with subsequent intubation during high-flow nasal cannula therapy: a prospective repeated-measures cohort study. J Crit Care. Published 2 September 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2026.155730

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