Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

The Predictive Value of Combined Lactate and Leukocyte Levels for Postoperative Morbidity after Prolonged Cardiopulmonary Bypass

J Cardiothorac Vasc AnesthPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In the absence of technical surgical complications, a CPB duration ≥132 minutes signifies increased risk. For these patients, the simple product of immediate post-CPB lactate and leukocyte count is a powerful, readily available early predictor of a complicated postoperative course, potentially outperforming CPB duration alone and reflecting the combined pathophysiology of systemic inflammation and impaired perfusion.

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), without intraoperative technical surgical complications, urban teaching hospital
Participants
150 adults
Outcome
Combined endpoint (unfavorable postoperative course): in-hospital mortality, prolonged mechanical ventilation >12 hours, RRT, neurologic complications (confusion, delirium, obtundation), norepinephrine >24 hours
Methodological detailssingle-centre
  • Single-centre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of the combined endpoint

CPB duration ≥132 minutes: specificity for the combined endpoint (ROC analysis)

93%

Lactate × Leukocytes ≥72 × 10⁹ × mmol × L-2 in prolonged CPB cohort (n = 35): AUC

0.909

Lactate × Leukocytes ≥72 × 10⁹ × mmol × L-2: sensitivity

100%

Lactate × Leukocytes ≥72 × 10⁹ × mmol × L-2: specificity

81%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Post-CPB leukocyte counts and lactate levels in prolonged CPB cohort · immediate post-CPB

Significantly higher in patients who developed complications

Correlation of Lactate × Leukocytes with duration of postoperative mechanical ventilation

Rho (p < 0.0001)
0.86

Original publication

The Predictive Value of Combined Lactate and Leukocyte Levels for Postoperative Morbidity after Prolonged Cardiopulmonary Bypass. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. Published 1 May 2026. doi:10.1053/j.jvca.2026.04.051

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