Organ support & nutrition

Time course of energy expenditure in persistent critical illness: a prospective multicentre study

Crit CarePublished Prospective observational cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Mean energy expenditure follows a biphasic pattern during prolonged ICU stay, with the inflection point coinciding with the empirical onset of persistent critical illness.

Study context

Population
Adults with persistent critical illness (ICU LOS ≥ 10 days) and ≥ 1 indirect calorimetry, 5 European and 2 Australian ICUs, 2022–20241,194 measurements
Participants
433 adults
Outcome
Change in energy expenditure over time
Methodological detailsmulticentre, mixed-effects models with restricted cubic splines, latent class analysis
  • Multicentre
  • Mixed-effects models with restricted cubic splines
  • Latent class analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Energy expenditure over time
Initial increase in energy expenditure, peaking around day 10, then decline
p < 0.001
Still significant after adjustment (sex, age, CRP, FiO2, fever, BMI, RRT, protein; patient and site random effects)
p = 0.001
Conditional R²
0.76

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Respiratory quotient vs time

Association non-significant
P = 0.067

Urea: creatinine ratio · first 10 days

Increased over the first 10 days
P < 0.001

Energy expenditure trajectories (latent class analysis)

Three trajectories: hypo-, normo- and hypermetabolism; entropy
0.63

Original publication

Time course of energy expenditure in persistent critical illness: a prospective multicentre study. Crit Care. Published 27 May 2026. doi:10.1186/s13054-026-06102-w

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