Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

Use of Machine Learning to Derive Discrete Clinical Phenotypes and Assess Treatment-Effect Heterogeneity in the Steroids in Cardiac Surgery Trial Dataset

Anesth AnalgPublished Secondary analysis of the SIRS randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

Despite substantial differences in preoperative risk profiles, findings were neutral for methylprednisolone across all phenotypes.

Study context

Population
Cardiac surgery patients in the SIRS trial; clusters derived in a Cleveland Clinic developmental dataset (30 preoperative variables)SIRS trial dataset
Participants
6,836 patients
Comparison
Methylprednisolone treatment effect across 4 derived clinical phenotypes
Primary endpoint
Coprimary: 30-day mortality and composite of death and major morbidity; methylprednisolone treatment-phenotype interaction
Methodological detailsmachine learning phenotype clustering (partitioning around medoids), treatment-phenotype interaction analysis
  • Machine learning phenotype clustering (partitioning around medoids)
  • Treatment-phenotype interaction analysis

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Methylprednisolone effect on coprimary outcomes by phenotype

No evidence that methylprednisolone treatment-effect differed by phenotypes

all treatment-phenotype interaction term P > .05

Further findings

OutcomeOR (95% CI)
Composite of mortality and severe morbidity by phenotype, developmental dataset (n = 16,395)Sickest, more CABG and low LVEF vs Younger and healthier3.4 (2.4–4.8)

Mortality and severe morbidity by phenotype, SIRS trial dataset

OR (95% CI)
Sickest, more CABG and low LVEFHighest-risk category2.1 (1.6–2.9)

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Use of Machine Learning to Derive Discrete Clinical Phenotypes and Assess Treatment-Effect Heterogeneity in the Steroids in Cardiac Surgery Trial Dataset. Anesth Analg. Published 19 August 2025. doi:10.1213/ane.0000000000007715

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