Respiratory failure & ventilation

Individualized Treatment Effects of Oxygen Targets in Mechanically Ventilated Critically Ill Adults

JAMAPublished Secondary analysis of the PILOT and ICU-ROX randomised trials

Authors' conclusion

Oxygenation targets that are individualized using machine learning analyses of randomized trials may reduce mortality for critically ill adults.

Study context

Population
Critically ill adults receiving invasive mechanical ventilation in intensive care unit (ICU) (US for PILOT; 21 ICUs in Australia and New Zealand for ICU-ROX)PILOT n = 1682
Comparison
Lower vs higher SpO2 target
Primary endpoint
28-Day mortality
Follow-up
28 days
Methodological detailsmachine learning model, derivation in PILOT, external validation in ICU-ROX
  • Machine learning model
  • Derivation in PILOT
  • External validation in ICU-ROX

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

28-Day mortality: individualized treatment effect of lower vs higher SpO2 target (ICU-ROX validation cohort)
Predicted effect of lower vs higher SpO2 target for individual patients, absolute change in 28-day mortality
27.2% absolute reduction to 34.4% absolute increase
Patients predicted to benefit from lower SpO2 target had lower mortality when randomized to lower SpO2; those predicted to benefit from higher SpO2 target had lower mortality when randomized to higher SpO2 (likelihood ratio test for effect modification)
P = .02
Use of the SpO2 target predicted to be best for each patient, instead of the randomized SpO2 target, would have reduced absolute overall mortality by
6.4% (95% CI, 1.9%-10.9%)

Further findings

Characteristics of predicted benefit subgroups

Predicted benefit from lower SpO2 target: higher prevalence of acute brain injury; from higher SpO2 target: higher prevalence of sepsis and abnormally elevated vital signs

Original publication

Individualized Treatment Effects of Oxygen Targets in Mechanically Ventilated Critically Ill Adults. JAMA. Published 9 April 2024. doi:10.1001/jama.2024.2933

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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