Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

Machine Learning–Based Prediction of Postoperative Vasoplegia After Cardiac Surgery

J Cardiothorac Vasc AnesthPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

A machine-learning model using routinely available perioperative and early postoperative data accurately predicted postoperative vasoplegia after cardiac surgery.

Study context

Population
Adults admitted to ICU after cardiac surgery, tertiary academic intensive care units (ICUs)
Outcome
Incident postoperative vasoplegia (CI >2.2 L/min/m², SVR <800 dyne·s/cm⁵ and MAP <65 mmHg, or CI >2.2 L/min/m² with norepinephrine plus epinephrine >0.2 µg/kg/min)
Follow-up
>6 to ≤48 hours after ICU arrival
Methodological detailsmodel development and internal validation, machine learning
  • Model development and internal validation
  • Machine learning

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of postoperative vasoplegia, held-out test set

AUC of best-performing model (moderate discrimination)

0.74-0.75

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Influential features

Underlying hypertension, congestive HF, diabetes, male sex, preoperative angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor exposure

Original publication

Machine Learning–Based Prediction of Postoperative Vasoplegia After Cardiac Surgery. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. Published 28 November 2025. doi:10.1053/j.jvca.2025.11.034

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