Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

Prediction of Postoperative Lung Graft Dysfunction During the Procedure: A Single-Center Cohort Study of Cystic Fibrosis Patients

J Cardiothorac Vasc AnesthPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This predictive model underscores the adverse impact of sustained ECMO placed at the end of surgery and elevated intraoperative lactate levels on PGD3 risk.

Study context

Population
Adult cystic fibrosis (CF) patients undergoing double-lung transplantation, 2012–2019, University Hospital, France (excluding multiorgan transplants, retransplantation, intraoperative CPB)
Outcome
PGD3 incidence and prediction model
Follow-up
POD 3
Methodological detailssingle-centre, Sixty-nine variables recorded in real time across nine predefined intraoperative time-points; logistic regression model
  • Single-centre
  • Sixty-nine variables recorded in real time across nine predefined intraoperative time-points; logistic regression model

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Primary graft dysfunction (PGD3) occurred

24 patients

15.5%

Model AUC improved progressively during surgery

0.764 to 0.892

ECMO required at end of surgery: risk of PGD3 increased by a factor

11.48

95% CI 4.48–29.39p < 0.001

Each 1 mEq/L rise in lactate at time-point 7 (second pulmonary artery clamping): risk of PGD3 increased by

1.29

95% CI 1.02–1.63p = 0.035

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Prediction of Postoperative Lung Graft Dysfunction During the Procedure: A Single-Center Cohort Study of Cystic Fibrosis Patients. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. Published 8 May 2025. doi:10.1053/j.jvca.2025.04.033

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