Respiratory failure & ventilation

A reappraisal of association between ventilator-associated events and mortality among critically ill patients using marginal structural model: multicenter observational study

Intensive Care MedPublished Multicentre observational cohort study

An erratum to this article was published (Intensive Care Med, Nov 2025 ↗)

Main finding · 30-day hospital mortalityResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.00 95% CI 1.23–3.26

Authors' conclusion

VAEs were associated with an increased risk of mortality after adjustment for severity, as a time-dependent confounder.

Study context

Population
Patients aged ≥ 12 years receiving mechanical ventilation for ≥ 3 consecutive days in 18 ICUs in Japan, May 2020–December 2022
Participants
1,094 patients · 18 ICUs
Exposure
VAE vs no VAE
  • VAEn = 106
Outcome
In-hospital mortality
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsmarginal structural model, inverse probability weighted proportional hazards model, time-dependent confounders
  • Marginal structural model
  • Inverse probability weighted proportional hazards model
  • Time-dependent confounders

Main finding

30-day hospital mortality

Hazard ratio

2.00

95% CI 1.23–3.26

VAE vs No VAE
HR 2.00 (95% CI 1.23–3.26)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
30-day ICU mortality1.92 (1.03–3.57)
Hospital LOSLonger LOS0.72 (0.54–0.97)
ICU LOSLonger LOS0.47 (0.23–0.96)
VAE incidence
9.7% · 106

Population attributable risk fraction of VAE-related mortality

In-hospital deaths
8.8%
ICU deaths
8.2%

Original publication

A reappraisal of association between ventilator-associated events and mortality among critically ill patients using marginal structural model: multicenter observational study. Intensive Care Med. Published 1 September 2025. doi:10.1007/s00134-025-08074-x

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